Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 6.233892e-01 0.800701 1.000627 1.240087 1.516449 1.822856 2.185686
2025-09-14 3.921688e-01 0.615837 0.900750 1.278018 1.752323 2.317402 3.029785
2025-09-21 2.433685e-01 0.475091 0.809159 1.294360 1.950486 2.778403 3.872856
2025-09-28 1.412020e-01 0.355085 0.707582 1.268202 2.078546 3.153169 4.630741
2025-10-05 8.666470e-02 0.284080 0.654260 1.291890 2.265555 3.608231 5.510352
2025-10-12 5.057640e-02 0.225433 0.601317 1.300767 2.423807 4.026612 6.355964
2025-10-19 2.484584e-02 0.167495 0.528742 1.260037 2.496502 4.322393 7.042271
2025-10-26 1.105160e-02 0.125289 0.470570 1.229465 2.575248 4.623794 7.741477
2025-11-02 4.853703e-03 0.099646 0.438661 1.238780 2.714433 5.015712 8.577250
2025-11-09 1.256071e-03 0.071851 0.387198 1.197930 2.761676 5.266732 9.215079
2025-11-16 4.030491e-04 0.061895 0.381931 1.250560 2.972146 5.774256 10.238058
2025-11-23 3.177176e-05 0.048084 0.356298 1.253078 3.091153 6.140996 11.061622
2025-11-30 6.296162e-07 0.043548 0.362964 1.332720 3.360255 6.762302 12.291458
2025-12-07 NaN 0.037023 0.358021 1.384007 3.579851 7.312433 13.430023
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029451 0.342822 1.407137 3.746765 7.782264 14.458614
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020557 0.311540 1.382358 3.817684 8.095404 15.254696
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016130 0.300419 1.409003 3.990616 8.582075 16.326705
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011935 0.284703 1.419196 4.129483 9.013918 17.320750
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007176 0.253446 1.376308 4.154444 9.251026 18.014088
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004152 0.227926 1.343997 4.197409 9.518182 18.757968
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002719 0.216301 1.353999 4.331127 9.946069 19.763729
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001218 0.191141 1.310597 4.343037 10.158110 20.427043
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000942 0.193335 1.366599 4.580993 10.778162 21.756713